My prayers and heart goes out to the shooting victims in Las Vegas. Needless to say, we live in dangerous times. Whatever it is, we need to work hard together as a country to care about one another and place a greater value on life.
The stock market today is like silver in the 1970s. Could it crash & burn like the 1979 silver run-up? Presently, over-speculation in the stock market is normal and expected. Unlike silver, nobody wants the party to end. If Wall Street went into silver, it would perform in the same manner. The trick is to run it up and know when to pull it out. Easier said than done. When the market crashes, it’s sudden death.
For silver, the trick is to see it come down and buy close to the bottom as possible. I think that has already happened. Silver ‘crashes’ in slow motion, unlike Wall Street.
For silver, 2011 was most like 1979. We should also take 1967 and 1982 in account. Over-speculation (for lack of a better word) in those years led to multi-year lows. Prices had mostly recovered in 1972 and 2006 respectively. Over-speculation in 1982 finally turned around in 1992.
In short, people should be selling more stocks when they run up and buying more silver when they run down.
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When silver hit bottom in 2015, we began to see a disconnect between the paper spot and physical markets. It is apparent the powers that be did not want to see it continue. Sustaining such a phenomenon could end the spot paper market as physical ‘derives’ itself into something new. They barely dodged that bullet. Today, paper spot and physical prices are again in equilibrium.
Doing a little math with gas prices and inflation, I’ve made a few conclusions.
Currently, silver seems a better value than gold. Since 2001, silver performed better than itself in the past, although the gold and silver ratio has widened in favor of gold. Silver tends to ramp up rapidly when it’s severely undervalued (high gains in 1972 or doubling in 5 years in 2006).
Whether spot silver goes up or physical silver detaches itself from spot prices, it’s all going to work out.